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Exploring the impact of changes in land use and land condition on food, water, climate change mitigation and biodiversity: Scenarios for the UNCCD Global Land Outlook

Publication date
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Contributing report
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Contributing report_exploring the impact of changes in land use

Land is a major overarching theme connecting the three Rio Conventions covering climate change (UNFCCC), biodiversity (CBD), and desertification and land degradation (UNCCD). Land management plays a key role in attaining their goals and targets. Furthermore, a large number of the Sustainable Development Goals have strong links to land and land management, and tradeoffs between sustainability ambitions often materialise on land.

This study provides scenario projections for the Global Land Outlook, which is developed by the secretariat of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD). The aim is to explore how various demands on land are expected to change under alternative future developments up to 2050, how that will affect the challenges facing global sustainability ambitions, and to what extent land degradation may exacerbate these challenges. The study provides policymakers with quantitative information on the order of magnitude of future change to the land system, and can support discussion on policy priorities and interventions, within the UNCCD and other institutions.