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2021 Production Gap Report launch event and two additional “gap” reports will be launched in the coming weeks in the lead up to and during COP26

Past editions of the Production Gap report have shown that governments across the world plan on extracting fossil fuels at a rate inconsistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.

This is the first comprehensive update of the production gap analysis since our 2019 assessment. The report also contrasts net-zero commitments and fossil fuel production plans and explores how governments worldwide are supporting fossil fuel production through their policies, investments, Covid-19 recovery measures and other mechanisms, as well as how some are beginning to discuss and enact policies towards a managed and equitable transition away from fossil fuel production.

This year’s report features individual country profiles for 15 major fossil fuel-producing countries and a special chapter on the role of transparency in helping to address the production gap.

Tune into this virtual discussion by the report’s authors and other leading climate experts. A Q&A will follow the main presentation.

This report is produced by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), ODI , E3G and the UN Environment Programme (UNEP)


  • 21 October 2021
  • 09:00 - 10:15 EDT

Register now  for 2021 Production Gap Report launch event

For a detailed review of the 2021 Production Gap Report’s findings with leading experts on 21 October 2021 at 9:00 EDT.


Have a look at  the Key Findings from the 2020 Report

Between 2020 and 2030, global coal, oil, and gas production would have to decline annually by 11%, 4%, and 3%, respectively, to be consistent with a 1.5°C pathway. But government plans and projections indicate an average 2% annual increase for each fuel.

This translates to a production gap similar to that estimated in the 2019 report, with countries aiming to produce 120% and 50% more fossil fuels by 2030 than would be consistent with limiting global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C, respectively.

To follow a 1.5°C-consistent pathway, the world will need to decrease fossil fuel production by roughly 6% per year between 2020 and 2030. Read further 

Looking ahead, two additional “gap” reports will be launched in the coming weeks in the lead up to and during COP26

Emissions Gap  Report 2021: 26 October ( a quick look to the report from 2020  )

Adaptation Gap Report 2021: 4 November ( a quick look to the report from 2020 )

Sources used: SEI, UNEP ; IISD, ODI

production gap